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(Tuesday Market Open) After getting clipped by falling mega-cap stocks and sinking oil prices Monday, stocks showed a bit more holiday cheer early Tuesday following solid retail earnings news and sinking volatility. Fed speakers on the schedule later could help determine whether the good mood lasts.

With this morning’s earnings news behind us and no major data until tomorrow, it could be one of those random, headline-driven days. One thing to look out for is whether Fed speakers say anything that shakes the market, the way St. Louis Fed President James Bullard did last week. He talked about rates perhaps needing to rise to between 5% and 7% before the Federal Reserve could ease its inflation fight. But lately, other Fed speakers have sounded more dovish.

Two more Fed speakers are on schedule today before tomorrow afternoon’s release of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. Yesterday, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told CNBC that recent milder inflation data was “good news,” but not convincing enough to stop the cycle of rate hikes. She did say, though, that the pace of rate hikes could slow. The CME FedWatch Tool shows 75% odds of a 50-basis point December rate hike, and better than 50% odds of another 50-basis point hike in February.

Yesterday was another tough one for technology stocks and for semiconductor shares in particular. Chalk it up in large part to China’s continuing COVID-19 issues, which are also hurting big stocks like Apple (AAPL). Mega-caps were flat to slightly higher in premarket trading this morning, perhaps implying less pressure, at least for now, from Wall Street’s behemoths.

Best Buy (BBY) defied anyone who thought consumers might pull back on electronics purchases, despite rising inflation. It beat Wall Street’s earnings and revenue expectations, and also guided for a slightly improved outlook, keeping its holiday season expectations unchanged. The market took that as a victory, sending BBY shares up 7% in premarket trading. However, the stock is down 30% this year going into Tuesday.

In other retail earnings, Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) surpassed analysts’ estimates and raised its outlook. Shares, however, only got a 1% bump ahead of the opening bell.

We’re most of the way through these earnings from retailers, and all in all, mostly it’s been a decent quarter for them, not withstanding some unpleasant tidings from Target (TGT) and Kohl’s (KSS). The question some analysts are asking is whether consumers will continue their shopping after the holidays, especially with inflation still gripping the economy. One barrier could be the declining “wealth effect,” in which falling stock and home prices make people less willing to spend. It’s something to contemplate heading into 2023.

On the wrong side of the earnings pendulum today is Medtronic (MDT). The medical company cut guidance due in part to foreign exchange headwinds, and also cited “slower than predicted procedure growth and supply recovery.” Shares fell 5%.